The International Monetary Fund has warned that Japan’s debt could rise three times the size of its economy by 2030.
In
its annual assessment of the world’s third largest economy, IMF said
Japan risks stagflation and turmoil in financial markets, urging the
government to cut spending and limit extra budgets.
Japan’s public debts are expected to hit 250% of gross domestic product in the next five years, IMF economists warned.
They
said the country’s fragile economic recovery is facing risks from the
stalling of structural reforms. IMF also cast doubt on Prime Minister
Shinzo Abe’s reform plan, contending that it was failing to revive the
economy.
Abe’s aggressive bid to water down Japan’s pacifist
policies has pulled down his popularity, with many analysts believing he
lacks power to push through more structural reforms.
His
Abenomics reforms have been credited with lending some vigor to the
flagging economy but he has to go to greater lengths yet to face off
enormous long-term challenges which the country's graying population
poses.
IMF says PM Shinzo Abe's Abenomics reforms are failing to revive Japan's economy.IMF
warned that Japan’s much favored policy of depreciation of the yen
could ultimately lead to a sharp rise in inflation and subsequent
stagflation as a result of weak domestic demand.
“Abenomics needs to be reloaded so that policy shortcomings do not become a drag on growth and inflation,” the economists wrote.
Prime Minister Abe’s policy to restore fiscal health is focused on stimulating growth instead of curbing budget spending.
According
to Fitch, Japan’s increasing reliance on economic growth to cut its
debt burden exposes the nation to greater risks. In April, the agency
cut its rating on the country to the same level as Malta.
The IMF
urged Japan to launch a new round of reforms to lift labor supply and
open up its heavily protected agricultural and service sectors.
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